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Macro Forecast

Vietnam Macro-economic Forecast 2025-2026

2024

GDP (YoY%)

7.09

CPI trung bình (YoY%)

3.63

Xuất khẩu (YoY%)

14.32

Nhập khẩu (YoY%)

16.67

Lãi suất điều hành (YoY%)

4.5

USD/VND trung bình

25,054

Kịch bản Tiêu cực

2025

2026

6.5

6.3

4.44

4.5

7

7

7

7

5

5

26,056

26,619

Kịch bản Tích cực

2025

2026

7.4

6.8

3.18

3.5

17

17

17

17

4.5

4.5

25,554

25,810

Consensus 2025

Min

TB

Max

5.9

6.6

7.4

2.8

3.5

4.2

4.55

Consensus 2026

Min

TB

Max

5.4

6.3

7.4

2

3.6

5.5

4.7

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