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Macro Forecast

Vietnam Macro-economic Forecast 2025-2026

2024

GDP (YoY%)

7.09

CPI trung bình (YoY%)

3.63

Xuất khẩu (YoY%)

14.32

Nhập khẩu (YoY%)

16.67

Lãi suất điều hành (YoY%)

4.5

USD/VND trung bình

25,054

Kịch bản Tiêu cực

2025

2026

6.5

6.3

4.44

4.5

7

7

7

7

5

5

26,056

26,619

Kịch bản Tích cực

2025

2026

7.4

6.8

3.18

3.5

17

17

17

17

4.5

4.5

25,554

25,810

Consensus 2025

Min

TB

Max

5.9

6.6

7.4

2.8

3.5

4.2

4.55

Consensus 2026

Min

TB

Max

5.4

6.3

7.4

2

3.6

5.5

4.7

Strategy report

11/04/2023

BSC_Macro & Market March 2023_GDP in Q1 2023 +3.32% YoY_VN-Index has recovered from its low price range_The banking crisis in the United States and Europe_230411

168 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

13/03/2023

BSC_Macro & Market Febuary 2023_Production activities resumed after Tet VN-Index has recovered from its low-price level_230303

120 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

13/02/2023

BSC_Macro & Market January 2023_Consumption increased thanks to 2 holidays; VN-Index continued the recovering trend_230213

151 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

18/01/2023

BSC_Vietnam Macro Market Outlook 2023_EN_It's always darkest before the dawn_20230118

4797 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

06/12/2022

BSC_Macro & Market November 2022_Pressure on exchange rate cooled down - VN-Index recovered strongly_221206

166 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

08/11/2022

BSC_Macro & Market October 2022_Inflation increased significantly; VN-Index maintains its downtrend_221108

129 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

10/10/2022

BSC_Macro & Market Q3.2022_Q3.2022 GDP reached nearly 14%; VN-Index recorded a strong downtrend_221007

158 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

12/09/2022

BSC_Macro & Market August 2022_Positive macro – VN-Index recorded a strong uptrend_220912

178 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

10/08/2022

BSC_Macro & Market July 2022_Positive macro – VN-Index exceeds 1,200 points_220810

175 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

14/07/2022

BSC_Macro & Market Q2.2022_Growing economy– market returns to correction trend_VN-Index and period of US economic recessions_220714

171 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

13/06/2022

BSC_Macro & Market May 2022_Positive macroeconomy & market_China’s Real estate market – Three red lines_220613

226 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

18/05/2022

BSC_Macro & Market April 2022

168 Number of Downloads

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