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Weekly Macro Report

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    Macro Forecast

    Vietnam Macro-economic Forecast 2025-2026

    2024

    GDP (YoY%)

    7.09

    CPI trung bình (YoY%)

    3.63

    Xuất khẩu (YoY%)

    14.32

    Nhập khẩu (YoY%)

    16.67

    Lãi suất điều hành (YoY%)

    4.5

    USD/VND trung bình

    25,054

    Kịch bản Tiêu cực

    2025

    2026

    6.5

    6.3

    4.44

    4.5

    7

    7

    7

    7

    5

    5

    26,056

    26,619

    Kịch bản Tích cực

    2025

    2026

    7.4

    6.8

    3.18

    3.5

    17

    17

    17

    17

    4.5

    4.5

    25,554

    25,810

    Consensus 2025

    Min

    TB

    Max

    5.9

    6.6

    7.4

    2.8

    3.5

    4.2

    4.55

    Consensus 2026

    Min

    TB

    Max

    5.4

    6.3

    7.4

    2

    3.6

    5.5

    4.7

    Weekly Macro Report

    21/01/2025

    Week 03_VN-Index retests the neckline of the old 2-peak model at 1,250 - 1,254 points

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    Weekly Macro Report

    08/01/2025

    Week 01_Assessment when Circular 02 expires

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    Weekly Macro Report

    02/01/2025

    Week 53_Forecast of Changes in VN30 and VNFIN Lead Index Components for Q1/2025

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    Neutral

    23/12/2024

    Week 52_VN-Index is temporarily balanced around SMA 100 and 200

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    Weekly Macro Report

    16/12/2024

    Week 51_Results of changes to the index portfolio of FTSE Vietnam Index and MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Q4/2024_241216

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    Weekly Macro Report

    12/12/2024

    Week 50_Cash flow returns, VN-Index heads towards peak range of 1,280 - 1,300 points_241212

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    03/12/2024

    Week 49_Forecasting number of shares transacted by foreign ETF funds Q4/2024_241203

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    Weekly Macro Report

    27/11/2024

    Week 48_Update on some notable highlights of the 8th session of the 15th National Assembly meeting_241127

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    Weekly Macro Report

    20/11/2024

    Week 47_The VN-Index continues its short-term downward trend_241120

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    13/11/2024

    Week 46_VN-Index continues moving sideways below short-term resistance_241108

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    Weekly Macro Report

    04/11/2024

    Week 45_Some notable information ahead of the U.S. Presidential election_241104

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    Weekly Macro Report

    28/10/2024

    Week 44_Forcasting the volume of buying/selling of domestic ETF in Q4/2024_241028

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    Weekly Macro Report

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